Session Description: During this workshop based on his long-running Future Trends in Technology and Education report, Bryan Alexander will explore present trends to extrapolate the future of higher education technology. The workshop will present cutting-edge, longitudinally informed research and activities that encourage you to consider how policy, economics, demographics and educational technologies are shaping your institution, community and life. Alexander will also examine trends and developments including social media, mobile, blockchain, artificial intelligence, evolutions in learning management and more.
Speaker: Bryan Alexander
FTTE.US – Future Trends Report
- Subscribe for updates on trends in higher ed.
Globalization of Higher Education
- European Credit Transfer and Accumlation System – Provides ease of transfer across institutions.
- More international students coming to US.
- US campuses are expanding overseas presence.
- Income inequality in Anglo-Saxon Countries (Macroeconomic Changes) – The economic climate is changing since the “great compression” from 1950-1980 and there is more economic inequality now.
- The US recession hit and the recovery is really uneven across states.
- Manufacturing > Service
- 1 Job / Career > Many Gigs
- Declining Participation in the Workforce
Should we prepare our students for jobs that machines can’t do?
- Youth Population Shrinkage, especially in the Northest and Midwest
- Expanding Senior Population
- Where Americans are Moving To (Texas, Florida, Colorado, North Carolina, Arizona)
- 40% of HS graduates come from the South
- Ecological Sustainabilty Drive
- Reform Movements (K12, HigherEd, Bipartisan, Sexual Assault)
- Alternative Certification Pilots (Competency, Badges)
- Alternative Business Models and Schools (MOOCs, coding academics, MissionU – 1 Year Undergrad Program)
- Adjunctification Rising
- Student Population Changes – Students going to community colleges, and many students from the south, larger number of PHDs being awarded
- Near-majority Adult, Increasing First-Generation Students, Veterns, Learning Disabilities
- Enrollment Decline
- Gender Trends – More women now attend college.
- New Finance Model – Less state government support. More tuition discounts are being offered, today 48.6%.
- Rising Student Debt – 1.4 trillion, 2/3s graduation with debt, average debt is $30,000.
- Intergenerational tension
The post-Snowden World
- We still give away our privacy.
- 2 billion Facebook users.
- Nearly everyone carries a mobile device for tracking.
- Yet in education security and privacy is important.
“What Technology Wants” – Book
How are our LMSs, library systems, ERPs doing in the area of effective use of data?
Design for mobile *FIRST*
- Do we do this in education?
- Android vs iOS
- Mac vs PC
- Disintegrated computing: wearables, very small cameras and computers, leading to…
Internet of Things
- Everything integrated
- Security is an issue
- Messaging apps
- What’s app, Snapchat, Instagram, Twitter, Facebook, etc.
3D Printing & Makerspaces
- Early stage yet big capacity
- Social makerspaces
- Pedagogical learning across generations
DVDs vs Streaming
Virtual Reality and Augmented Reality = Mixed Reality
- Magic Leap
- Microsoft HoloLens
- Oculus Rift
- HTV Vive
AI – Artificial Intelligence
- In the long run, I think wwe will evolve in computing from a mobile-first to an AI-first world.
- What would an AI-first LMS or EMS or classroom look like?
- Transformation potential of a large infrastructure
- Very large growth in drone technology
- Robots in industr
- Robots in Cars
- Robots at War
- High frequency trading
- Automated writing
- Blockchain systems
- Quantum computing
- Moore’ Law RIP?
- Blended and Online growing
- Educational entrepreneurship
- Big data and data analytics develop
- Campus digital security threats growing
- Changes in library role
- LMS is pretty stable
- Next Generation Learning Environment – LMS unbundled
- Faculty use more social media (YouTube), uses of web video, digital humanities, the rise of maker movement
- MOOCs on the move – around the world continue
- Simulations and gaming
- Textual research (Law: e-discovery) – automation is having an impact on many employment positions
- Computational genomics, life science, bioinformatics, molecular science, new media practice, predictive policing, high frequency trading
- New Community of Scholars = Social Media and OER >>> increasing faculty collaboration and communication
- Changes in scholarly publishing (sci hub = “napster” of scholarly articles)
- Publisher and publishing is in crisis mode with old financial models
- Gaming in EDU
- AI as teaching assistants, tutors
- The Math Emporium as model – remedial math with computers and tutors